Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.163690 3.342773 3.532621 3.749913 3.993063 4.258351 4.571881
2025-03-23 2.865346 3.104513 3.370464 3.691583 4.073701 4.520489 5.092915
2025-03-30 2.619066 2.892833 3.208854 3.607465 4.107452 4.729907 5.592388
2025-04-06 2.404388 2.696351 3.043635 3.497849 4.094138 4.880048 6.055014
2025-04-13 2.208154 2.505241 2.866932 3.353865 4.017599 4.936496 6.409352
2025-04-20 2.108217 2.423830 2.818550 3.368519 4.153649 5.311635 7.354577
2025-04-27 2.026013 2.357871 2.783418 3.396136 4.311929 5.755089 8.594503
2025-05-04 1.973763 2.325981 2.789537 3.480868 4.568310 6.421117 10.623866
2025-05-11 1.905881 2.268249 2.755166 3.502566 4.730444 6.975353 12.857024
2025-05-18 1.833041 2.198840 2.698680 3.484385 4.823939 7.433274 15.340854
2025-05-25 1.738231 2.093963 2.584474 3.365647 4.725495 7.474330 16.622887
2025-06-01 1.665218 2.015537 2.503531 3.292321 4.698927 7.671016 18.847926
2025-06-08 1.578124 1.918506 2.397168 3.181752 4.613537 7.774668 21.373047
2025-06-15 1.527231 1.870199 2.360198 3.182640 4.745111 8.483360 30.019962
2025-06-22 1.472491 1.813686 2.307409 3.152370 4.813052 9.082954 43.622969
2025-06-29 1.415043 1.750546 2.240726 3.092193 4.810771 9.500117 64.821945
2025-07-06 1.353759 1.679185 2.157450 2.995882 4.716665 9.597852 89.894844
2025-07-13 1.324547 1.653465 2.143777 3.022855 4.904110 10.817845 1010.970519
2025-07-20 1.298936 1.631707 2.134805 3.057509 5.120328 12.410740 NaN
2025-07-27 1.283763 1.624678 2.148833 3.137107 5.472281 15.217014 NaN
2025-08-03 1.259222 1.602146 2.135844 3.162847 5.694755 17.901734 NaN
2025-08-10 1.230112 1.571262 2.107004 3.153845 5.820783 20.384282 NaN
2025-08-17 1.188033 1.518761 2.039119 3.059200 5.676372 20.381485 NaN